Spain and France will clash in the first semi-final at Euro 2024 in Munich. Spain has been more impressive, scoring 11 goals in the tournament compared to France’s three, which include two own goals and a penalty.
Hot Tip:
- Draw no bet – Spain to win: Spain has shown superior form and offensive capability throughout the tournament.
Key Stats:
- France’s matches in this tournament have averaged just 0.8 goals per game.
- Only one of France’s last seven internationals has seen both teams score.
- Spain have only lost one of their last 17 fixtures.
Correct Score Prediction:
- Spain 1-0 France: France has struggled offensively, while Spain has been creating more chances and are likely to find a breakthrough.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability:
- Spain: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
- Draw: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- France: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
Spain are slight favorite according to the odds.
Recent Form:
- Spain: Defeated Germany 2-1 in the quarter-finals with a last-minute goal by Mikel Merino.
- France: Won against Portugal in a penalty shootout after a goalless draw.
Head-to-Head (H2H):
- The last five H2Hs show an even rivalry with Spain winning 16 times, France 13 times, and one draw.
Spain Preview: Spain will miss two key defenders due to suspension but will have striker Alvaro Morata available. Dani Olmo, who has been in form, may replace the injured Pedri.
Predicted Lineup:
- Spain: Simon (GK), Cucurella, Laporte, Nacho, Navas, Rodri, Fabian, Williams, Olmo, Yamal, Morata
Recent Matches:
- 05/07/24: Germany 1-2 Spain
- 30/06/24: Georgia 1-4 Spain
- 24/06/24: Albania 0-1 Spain
- 20/06/24: Italy 0-1 Spain
- 15/06/24: Croatia 0-3 Spain
France Preview: France have a full squad available but is concerned about Kylian Mbappe’s form, who has been struggling due to a broken nose. Adrien Rabiot returns from suspension.
Predicted Lineup:
- France: Maignan (GK), Hernandez, Upamecano, Saliba, Kounde, Tchouameni, Rabiot, Kante, Griezmann, Mbappe, Kolo Muani
Recent Matches:
- 05/07/24: Portugal 0 (3)-0 (5) France
- 01/07/24: Belgium 0-1 France
- 25/06/24: Poland 1-1 France
- 21/06/24: Netherlands 0-0 France
- 17/06/24: Austria 0-1 France
Key Duels:
- Nacho vs Kylian Mbappe: Mbappe has been underperforming, and Nacho will aim to neutralize his threat.
- Nico Williams vs Jules Kounde: Williams has been effective on the left flank, making this a key matchup.
- Lamine Yamal vs Theo Hernandez: Yamal, the tournament’s top assister, will face a tough challenge against Hernandez.
Player to Watch:
- Dani Olmo: With two goals and two assists, Olmo has been a standout performer, averaging a goal contribution every 66 minutes.
Potential Final Opponents:
- Spain/France vs Netherlands/England:
- Spain vs Netherlands: Close historical record with Spain winning the 2010 World Cup final.
- Spain vs England: England have a slight edge in overall meetings, including wins at Euros in 1980 and 1996.
- France vs Netherlands: France has a better historical record, including wins at previous Euros.
- France vs England: France eliminated England in the 2022 World Cup, but England have a better overall H2H record.
