Gareth Southgate has guided England into their third semi-final. Despite some struggles, the Three Lions have shown resilience. Meanwhile, the Netherlands, led by Ronald Koeman, have been in good form, especially in the knockout stages. The game is expected to be competitive with both teams displaying strong defensive and attacking capabilities.
Hot Tip:
- Over 2.5 goals: The Netherlands’ recent matches have seen at least three goals scored, indicating an open and attacking style of play which might continue against England.
Key Stats:
- England have conceded in their last three games.
- The Netherlands have kept two clean sheets this tournament.
- England have only beaten the Netherlands once since 1996.
Correct Score Prediction:
- England 1-0 Netherlands: Despite the odds, the prediction leans towards a low-scoring and closely contested match, with England potentially securing a narrow victory through a moment of brilliance.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability:
- Home (Netherlands): 2/1 (3.0) – 33.3%
- Draw: 11/5 (3.2) – 31.3%
- Away (England): 6/4 (2.5) – 40%
England are slight favourites despite their inconsistent performances. However, the match is expected to be evenly balanced.
Head-to-Head (H2H):
- Last five H2Hs: Minimal difference between the two teams, with England winning six times, nine draws, and seven losses.
Netherlands Preview: The Dutch team is hitting form at the right time. Koeman’s ability to utilize his deep bench has been a key factor. Players like Cody Gakpo, who has been exceptional, could make a significant impact.
Predicted Lineup:
- Netherlands: Verbruggen (GK), Dumfries, De Vrij, Van Dijk, Ake, Schouten, Reijnders, Malen, Simons, Gakpo, Depay
Recent Matches:
- 06/07/24: Turkey 1-2 Netherlands
- 02/07/24: Romania 0-3 Netherlands
- 25/06/24: Austria 3-2 Netherlands
- 21/06/24: France 0-0 Netherlands
- 16/06/24: Poland 1-2 Netherlands
England Preview: England has made it to their third semi-final under Southgate, although they have not yet hit peak form. The team is relying on a solid defensive setup and key players stepping up at crucial moments.
Predicted Lineup:
- England: Pickford (GK), Walker, Stones, Guehi, Trippier, Saka, Rice, Mainoo, Foden, Bellingham, Kane
Recent Matches:
- 06/07/24: Switzerland 1 (3) – 1 (5) England
- 30/06/24: Slovakia 1-2 England
- 25/06/24: Slovenia 0-0 England
- 20/06/24: Denmark 1-1 England
- 16/06/24: Serbia 0-1 England
Key Duels:
- Kieran Trippier vs Cody Gakpo: Gakpo has been the standout player of the tournament. Trippier will need to use his experience to neutralize the threat.
- Bukayo Saka vs Denzel Dumfries: Both players are crucial in their wing-back roles and their ability to attack and defend will be pivotal.
- Harry Kane vs Virgil van Dijk: Kane’s form has been inconsistent, and van Dijk will aim to keep him quiet.
- Kyle Walker vs Memphis Depay: Depay has been below par in terms of finishing but remains a key player for the Dutch.
Player to Watch:
- Bukayo Saka: Saka has emerged as a key player for England, especially after his impactful performance in the quarter-finals. His deployment as a wing-back adds an extra dimension to England’s play.
Potential Final Opponents:
- Netherlands/England vs Spain/France:
- Netherlands vs Spain: Historically close matchups, with the Netherlands having a slight edge in past encounters.
- Netherlands vs France: France has a better overall record, but the matchup will be highly competitive.
- England vs France: France recently eliminated England in the 2022 World Cup, but England has a better overall H2H record.
- England vs Spain: England has a positive H2H record against Spain, including past wins at European Championships.
